PM Update: Overnight shower or storm possible. Less-humid heat tomorrow.

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PM Update: Overnight shower or storm possible. Less-humid heat tomorrow.
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Plus, a briefing on Monday’s strong to severe storm threat.

A stronger cold front aims to push through Monday night. Ahead of it, in the more humid and unstable air, we see a decent chance of thunderstorms Monday afternoon into the overnight hours. A few of these storms could be strong to severe. Luckily, severe storm chances aren’t too high as it looks now. Around town in the green shading, a 5 to 14 percent chance. West of town in the yellow has a slightly higher 15 to 29 percent chance of seeing a severe storm.

The menu of threats, in order of most to least likely: damaging wind gusts over 57 mph; large hail over one inch in diameter; finally, very heavy rainfall from potentially flooding downpours. So far the Weather Prediction Center only sees a 5 to 14 percent chance of rainfall rate intensity reaching flash flood thresholds in our region . Phew. But it’s still worth watching as we get closer.

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