PM Update: Slight severe thunderstorm chances continue into tonight, Monday

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PM Update: Slight severe thunderstorm chances continue into tonight, Monday
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Any severe storms in the greater D.C. region this evening or Monday may bring damaging winds or large hail.

Stay tuned for afternoon and evening severe weather through at least Monday. We’ll have heat, humidity, instability and atmospheric “lift” from an approaching cold front. These are key ingredients for a severe storm. Overall, there’s about a 40 percent chance of severe storms in the areas highlighted in yellow in the upper-left map in the panel below.

The first and most likely threat from these potential severe storms through tonight is damaging wind gusts over 57 mph — highlighted in yellow at the lower-right panel of the map above. Large hail, highlighted in green at lower left, is a secondary threat to winds, but still something we need to watch for.

Monday’s overall severe storm threat and chance of damaging winds remain similar to today, but the chance for large hail is a bit higher. Downpours capable of producing patchy flash flooding can’t be ruled out either. We’ll talk more about this tonight in our weekly Sunday Sunset Live Q&A chat. Tune in at 8:37 p.m.

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