Posthaste: Relief from searing food inflation could be in sight, says CIBC analysis

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Posthaste: Relief from searing food inflation could be in sight, says CIBC analysis
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Most recently, year-over-year price increases of food purchased at grocery stores surged to 11.4%, even as the broader CPI slowed to 5.9%

Food inflation could be nearing a peak, new analysis from Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce shows.in the second half of this year, which would be a relief from the biggest increases in grocery prices since the 1980s. Their forecast is based on a number of changes, including the value of Canadian dollar, falling costs for imported food and post-pandemic spending burnout.

Inflation has been on a tear since late 2021, rising to 8.1 per cent in June 2022, a four-decade high. But,has consistently outpaced the headline reading of the consumer price index . Most recently, year-over-year increases of food purchased at grocery stores surged to 11.4 per cent, even as the broader CPI slowed to 5.9 per cent.

Grocery bills should also fall because global food prices are “softening,” the economists said, adding they expect consumers to benefit at the grocery store because the inflation rate on imported food has “decreased quite sharply.”

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