Forward-looking updates from GeoQuant's high-frequency political risk intelligence platform.
In an increasingly unpredictable world, GeoQuant forecasts the most commercially-relevant political events with unprecedented accuracy, combining our AI-powered machine with PhD political scientists to make binary predictions with long lead times and often counter-consensus conclusions. To wit, our current “Top Predictions” are summarized below, all of which were made well ahead of the market -- Dec.
facilities, the event has clearly steepened geopolitical risks associated with the Iran-Saudi Arabia conflict, shifting our Saudi-Iran bilateral “Contingent Risk” score toward a new, higher risk trajectory and suggesting that some kind of Saudi-led retaliation on Iran is likely. That said, while U.S.-Iran Contingent Risk was already very elevated before the attack and is projected to remain so, a flat projection suggests the U.S. itself will not attack Iran, limiting the scope of retaliation.
. But our data suggests the prospect of a major and sustained oil price shock from a U.S.-Iran war still appears unlikely.Spain | New Election Unlikely to Shake Up Polarized Parliament and Public Spain’s center-left Socialist-led minority government won a plurality of seats in a 28 April election but has been unable to form a government over the subsequent five months. With a 23 September deadline to form a government approaching, Socialist leader Pedro Sanchez is asking the public to return his party with a larger plurality after a second election, now expected on 10 November.
México Últimas Noticias, México Titulares
Similar News:También puedes leer noticias similares a ésta que hemos recopilado de otras fuentes de noticias.
Jamie Dimon says US trade deal with China 'unlikely' before 2020 electionAnalysts have speculated that the Chinese government may want to wait for the outcome of what will be a contentious election before coming to terms with the U.S. on trade.
Leer más »
India could be a strategic partner for the US, says analystIndia could benefit from a protracted U.S.-China trade war as manufacturers look for alternatives and Washington looks for another partner in Asia.
Leer más »
U.S. agriculture official calls trade tensions with China 'the new normal'The United States and China are still in the early stages of their trade war and...
Leer más »
Trumps' China trade rhetoric turns harsh at U.N., says won't take 'bad deal'U.S. President Donald Trump delivered a stinging rebuke to China's trade pr...
Leer más »