The killing of Wagner’s leader, who is presumed dead after his private plane crashed en route to St. Petersburg, won’t address the deeper sources of stress affecting the Russian President’s grip on power.
Prigozhin’s arc was the stuff of legend even before his death. He turned a criminal past and a venture as a St. Petersburg caterer and restaurateur into huge state contracts. He was a hustler, crude and ambitious. When the Kremlin needed online trolls, he created the Internet Research Agency, which hired young people to spread disinformation and make mischief across social-media sites, including in the run-up to the 2016 Presidential election in the U.S.
Various social-media accounts linked to Wagner suggest that acts of revenge will follow the deaths of Prigozhin and Utkin and other Wagner members, but this seems unlikely.
Even still, Putin has seemingly emerged with the upper hand. Prigozhin could have met his end in a murky assassination or a strange, never-to-be-solved accident on one of his Africa trips. Instead his plane exploded as it was flying over Russian territory, making the message unambiguous. On the very same day, Sergey Surovikin, a high-ranking Russian general who was seen as close to Prigozhin and may even have aided the mutiny, was removed from his post.
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