Meta: NFL predictions, picks, and odds for Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers. NFL Week 4 betting best bet and game analysis.
is the Bolts' top receiver, but he has a much higher O/U total after a monster performance last week, and he primarily lines up in the slot where the Raiders' best defensive back, Nate Hobbs, resides.
Palmer tends to line up more on the outside and he should see plenty of targets now that Mike Williams is done for a year with a torn ACL. Williams is typically Herbert's second-favorite target and when he missed time last year, Palmer picked up the slack. Williams played in just six snaps between Weeks 9 and 13 last season, and in those five contests, Palmer racked up 31 catches on 46 targets for 372 receiving yards.
The Chargers drafted wideout Quentin Johnson in the first round this year, but the rookie is still a work in progress. We saw that last week when Williams tore his ACL late in the third quarter and Herbert didn't look Johnson's way once but hooked up with Palmer on a 30-yard touchdown . Palmer finished that game with four catches for 66 yards and he should see enough of an uptick in targets in this contest to eclipse his modest receiving yards total.
It seems like the Chargers never play up to their talent and often struggle to separate from opponents they should demolish. That said, the Chargers offense should be able to put up points against a Vegas defense that ranks 29th in the league in EPA and 30th in success rate. Especially since the Raiders' two best defenders are now listed as questionable.
I prefer the O/U number for Palmer's receiving yards more than Allen but I still like Allen to have a big game — especially if Hobbs sits out. These numbers are reasonable enough for both receivers to eclipse, especially with L.A.'s lack of receiving depth at the moment and new OC Kellen Moore's willingness to attack downfield.
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