Don’t look now, but the New York Rangers could pass the New Jersey Devils with a win in regulation in Newark on Saturday afternoon.
Since Dec. 5, the Rangers have the second-best points percentage in the NHL and their +0.87 goal differential per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 is the sixth-best mark in the circuit. But it does appear to be a bit of smoke and mirrors.
While the Rangers are never going to need to dominate play because of their goaltender and elite playmaking talent, they are playing with fire a bit. Over their last 14 contests, the Blueshirts have skated to a 44.7% expected goals rate and 43.6% high-danger scoring chance rate. That is good enough for 26th and 27th in the NHL, respectively, over that span.New customers only. Must be 21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. Full T&C apply.New users only, 21 or older.
On the other hand, the Devils are going through a bit of the opposite. While New Jersey isn’t getting wins, it is still driving play at a terrific clip at 5-on-5. The Devils are just 4-8-2 in their last 14 contests, but they rank eighth in expected goals rate and seventh in high-danger scoring chance percentage in that span.
It does need to be noted that the Rangers will have a significant goaltending advantage in this contest and that a big part of New Jersey’s stumble has been due to leaky netminding. But everything at 5-on-5 is pointing in the direction of the Devils on Saturday and the hope is that they control play enough that they can overcome New York’s edge in goal.
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