'Some commentators were too confident in making claims that the Russian security agencies didn't do anything to stop the uprising,' analyst tells Newsweek.
On August 23, an Embraer jet carrying Wagner mercenary group head Yevgeney Prigozhin fell from the sky over Russia's Tver region while en route from Moscow to Saint Petersburg. The incident occurred on the eve of the two-month anniversary of a June 24 mutiny that had seen Wagner fighters seize control of the Russia Southern Military District Headquarters in the city of Rostov-on-Don.
A portrait of former Wagner PMC head Yevgeny Prigozhin, deceased, is seen among candles at an informal memorial at Varvarka street near the Kremlin on August 24, 2023 in Moscow, Russia. Russia's Civil Aviation Agency says mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigizhin was aboard a plane that crashed north of Moscow on August 23.The first clear, publicly available indication that a direct challenge to the Kremlin's authority was imminent came shortly before 10 p.m.
While no clear proof has emerged establishing that the two Prigozhin-friendly generals' early morning video addresses were in fact filmed at the strong insistence of Russia's security services, Surovikin was soon placed under house arrest. He was formally relieved of his role as commander-in-chief of the country's aerospace forces on August 23, mere hours before the private jet carrying Prigozhin crashed between Moscow and St. Petersburg.
Despite the clear signals that the authorities in Moscow were aware of his plans, however, Prigozhin continued to move forward. At 2:03 a.m. local time on June 24, he announced in another Telegram audio message that"we've crossed the border, and the guards came out and hugged our fighters. Now we're entering Rostov." He went on to say that"we'll destroy anything that stands in our way... We're going further. We're going all the way.
The propaganda initiative appeared to have its desired effect. According to polling conducted by the Levada Center, approval among the Russian public for Prigozhin's actions dropped from 30 percent before the mutiny to 11 percent in the immediate aftermath of June 24.
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