College football odds, picks and prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Week 7 betting free pick and game analysis.
This Aztecs vs. Rainbow Warriors clash feels like a "loser leaves town" game, as the victor will emerge 3-4, while the defeated squad would be left at 2-5. Our college football betting picks believe Hawaii has an edge on Saturday, at least on offense.There’s a nightcap game to watch in Week 7 as the San Diego State Aztecs head to the island to face the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors .
This makes for an interesting matchup because some of these teams’ weaknesses seemingly cancel each other out. SDSU can’t defend the run whatsoever but Hawaii can’t get anything going on the ground . On the other side of the ball, Hawaii’s defense has been underwhelming but matched up with an SDSU offense that doesn’t pack much of a punch and hasn’t generated many big plays .
Hawaii has a team total of 23.5 for this matchup and I think that’s too low against a vulnerable SDSU defense checking in at 121st in EPA per play and 127th in success rate. Give me the Rainbow Warriors to score at least 24 points at home after a bye week. It’s hard to trust either team at the moment, so I find the most advisable route to be taking the points with the home team.
For all the grief that SDSU has gotten offensively, it ranks in the Top 50 nationally in success rate and matches up with a beatable Hawaii defense that has surrendered at least 6.6 yards per play in each of its last three games. This unit was most recently gashed for 307 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns by UNLV.
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