Dangerous storms with the potential for tornadoes are forecast to erupt Tuesday in Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas and Tennessee.
The Storm Prediction Center took the highly unusual step of issuing a level 4 out of 5 risk of severe weather, which is quite atypical for November. For that category to be drawn a full day in advance is even rarer. In fact, the agency has included moderate risks in its day-before outlooks only seven times in the past 20 years. They’re reserved for particularly dangerous severe weather events.
During the late evening and overnight, the storms may merge into clusters and line segments, which would increase the risk of damaging straight-line winds while the tornado threat lessens some. A few instances of hail are possible, too, but will not be the primary threat.Moisture streaming northward will keep low clouds in place much of the day, with periodic showers. The sudden blossoming of thunderstorms or convective initiation won’t occur until a “cap” of warm air aloft is broken.
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