An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
” early Thu. but is expected to be short-lived. Having said that... No threat to any land areas.is moving west off the coast of Africa. This system will soon be “Katia” but should stay over the far Eastern Atlantic.will move west off of Africa over the weekend. This wave has a good chance to develop over the main development region through next week & could become a textbook long track hurricane. There *COULD* be a threat to parts of the Caribbean &/or the U.S.
Check out the upper oceanic heat content [tropical cyclone heat potential/TCHP] across the SW Atlantic, Gulf & Caribbean. The warmth is very deep. But keep in mind warm ocean temps. alone doesn’t necessarily equate to a “big” hurricane season but it’s obvious there is a lot of very warm water at great depths over the Caribbean & Gulf of Mexico:Averages below based on climatology for the Atlantic Basin for August:Saharan dust spreads west each year from Africa by the prevailing winds .
Deep oceanic heat content over the Gulf, Caribbean & deep tropical Atlantic. The brighter colors are expanding dramatically as we near the peak of the hurricane season.:Surface analysis of the Gulf:for 24, 48 & 72 hours respectively:
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