Talking the Tropics With Mike: Last month of the Atlantic hurricane season

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Talking the Tropics With Mike: Last month of the Atlantic hurricane season
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An overview of what's going on in the tropics....

REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.

Realize the forecast cone is the average forecast error over a given time - out to 5 days - & *does not* indicate the width of the storm &/or where damage that might occur.** Potential development over the Caribbean A surface trough of low pressure continues to move westward over the Eastern & Central Caribbean. There’s a decent chance the trough will evolve into surface low pressure that will move inland over Central America by the weekend - tropical development is possible.The upper oceanic heat content across the SW Atlantic, Gulf & Caribbean:November tropical cyclone origins:

Averages below based on climatology for the Atlantic Basin for November :Saharan dust spreads west each year from Africa by the prevailing winds . Dry air - yellow/orange/red/pink. Widespread dust is indicative of dry air that can impede the development of tropical cyclones. However, sometimes “wanna’ be” waves will just wait until they get to the other side of - or away from - the plume then try to develop if other conditions are favorable.

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