Talks have stalled, and divisions are growing. Is Sudan’s post-Bashir honeymoon over?

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Talks have stalled, and divisions are growing. Is Sudan’s post-Bashir honeymoon over?
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The jubilation that grew from the ouster of strongman Omar Hassan al-Bashir has given way to frustration.

Sudanese protesters flash victory signs and wave flags as they gather for a sit-in outside the military headquarters in Khartoum on May 19. By Jason Patinkin May 22 at 12:10 PM KHARTOUM, Sudan — Since early April, the thousands of participants in Sudan’s long-running protest have slept rough in tents and on sidewalks and endured oppressive summer heat.

At issue is the makeup of a new governing council: Neither the protesters nor the military leaders are willing to give up a majority of a proposed transitional government’s sovereign council, or control of the council’s presidency. “The situation in Sudan is extremely dangerous and could turn potentially into a serious conflict, not only within [Sudan’s] regions, but within the military itself,” said Rashid Abdi, a researcher who is the former Horn of Africa director for the International Crisis Group.

RSF commander Mohamed Hamdan Dagolo claimed his forces arrested the perpetrators. But protest leaders and experts say the timing of last week’s violence suggests a link to disagreements within the transitional military council, which includes leaders from the army, the RSF and other security agencies.

“Essentially, it’s a second army,” said Magdi el-Gizouli, a fellow at Nairobi’s Rift Valley Institute. “Resolving the dichotomy between the army and the RSF today is not possible without a war.” But the most significant rupture among the protesters is between radical youth urging for direct action to pressure the regime to hand over power and more cautious protest leaders.

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