The Chinese army has been buying hundreds of new helicopters in just a few years' time
Flying hundreds of helicopters to 10 or so closely spaced brigade landing zones, all at the same time, is difficult and risky even when no one is shooting at you. “Each brigade-level air assault demands its own unique entry and exit routes,” Fox wrote, “and prudence dictates planning at least an alternate route, if not a second alternate as well, depending on resistance encountered at the shoreline or elsewhere.
Add in Taiwanese air-defenses and the transit could get really messy, really fast. “Taiwan has a significant advantage here as it prepares defenses for an anticipated PLA air assault,” Fox explained. “Terrain restricts the suitability of landing areas while also dictating preferred air corridors, so there is ample time to plan defenses of key terrain and increase the degree of difficulty for PLA helicopters.
To compensate for the defender’s natural advantage, PLA air-assault planners could simply assume the first wave of helicopters would be lost, Fox explained. In this scenario, the PLA could send in the older Mi-17s first. They’d be sponges, soaking up Taiwanese surface-to-air missiles and gunfire and clearing paths for reinforcements. A “significant benefit of this approach is the diminished risk for the second wave of helicopters, so the PLA could expect higher survivability for those aircraft and preserve that combat power for the transition to stability operations,” Fox wrote.
It’s one thing to plan a suicide attack, of course. It’s another to motivate your troops to actually fly into a wall of steel. “While the ideological fervor of PLA forces may be robust especially with regard to the sacrosanct mission of ‘national reunification,’ PLA leaders would probably have to oversell the expected survivability of these forces to the participants themselves,” Fox mused.
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