Here are 12 big names who, depending on which way the electorate swings, could find themselves out in the cold via POLITICOEurope
The prime minister's spokesman is adamant that Johnson will not look to move to a safer seat.
According to Twyman, the Conservatives are hoping that in Tory-held, Remain-supporting seats such as this one “the fear of a Jeremy Corbyn government will be enough to ensure that party loyalty trumps Brexit loyalty.”Environment Secretary Theresa Villiers is fighting to hold on with a tiny majority of 353 in Chipping Barnet, north London.
“You could have a situation where you’ve got the official Conservative candidate, Dominic Grieve, as an unofficial Remain Conservative candidate, and the Brexit Party candidate, all splitting the vote,” Twyman said.Another ex-Tory arch-Remainer, Anna Soubry left the Conservative Party of her own accord earlier this year. She went on to lead the Independent Group for Change, made up of a handful of pro-EU exiles from the major parties.
“Some of the other demographics are coming into play quite strongly too — the fact that lots of places in the north of England have relatively low levels of people going to university, which is a strong indicator of Conservative voting preference, and also a stronger contingent of voters who are white rather than ethnic minorities,” Tanner added.Another Labour MP in a northern Brexit-backing seat, Yvette Cooper has been instrumental in the parliamentary effort to stop no-deal Brexit.
But a personal vote is rarely enough. “Very well known MPs tend to benefit but they are few and far between,” Twyman said.It’s not just Labour’s Brexit-backing seats that are vulnerable. Heavily Remain-voting areas, including those in London, are being targeted by the Lib Dems, who are campaigning to revoke Brexit altogether.
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