Larry Brilliant, an epidemiologist who was part of the WHO team that helped eradicate smallpox, said the delta variant is 'maybe the most contagious virus' ever
Larry BrilliantStill, only 15% of the world population has been vaccinated and more than 100 countries have inoculated less than 5% of their people, noted Brilliant.
"Unless we vaccinate everyone in 200 plus countries, there will still be new variants," he said, predicting that the coronavirus will eventually become a "forever virus" like influenza.Brilliant said his models on the Covid outbreak in San Francisco and New York predict an "inverted V-shape epidemic curve." That implies that infections increase very quickly, but would also decline rapidly, he explained.
There appears to be a similar pattern in the U.K. and India, where the spread of the delta variant has receded from recent highs. In India, the seven-day moving average of daily reported cases has stayed below 50,000 since late June — far below the peak of more than 390,000 a day in May, the data showed.
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