CFL odds, picks, and predictions for Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa RedBlacks. CFL betting best bet and game analysis.
21-13 as 1.5-point home underdogs in Week 5 before edging them 16-12 as 1.5-point road pups in Week 8, it's a bit surprising to see them catching even more points this time around.
Especially with Hamilton rookie quarterback Taylor Powell coming off the best performance of his career and the Redblacks mired in a five-game losing streak. That said, this is a really tough schedule spot for the Ticats, who are playing on just three days of rest after losing 41-28 to the Argos on Labour Day.
CFL Teams with fewer than five days of rest are 2-9 SU and ATS this year, and Hamilton has to go on the road to face a well-rested Redblacks squad fresh off a bye. This is an Ottawa side that is as healthy as it's been all season. Yes, they're still playing third-string rookie QB Dustin Crum but the defense has almost its ideal starting lineup in place and the wide receiver corps is close to full strength as well.
Crum is coming off his worst performance as Ottawa's signal-caller, throwing for 172 yards and adding a modest 28 on the ground against Edmonton's pathetic defense in Week 12. He also underperformed in that Week 8 loss to Hamilton but he looked incredible in upset wins against Winnipeg and Calgary earlier this season and also played lights out against the Argos three weeks ago. With his dynamic mobility and live arm, Crum has a future as a very good starting QB in the league.
However, I'm not sold on Powell, who threw for a career-high 296 yards on Monday but piled up yards in garbage time after the Argos had a commanding lead. Powell doesn't have a strong enough arm to stretch defenses vertically and he's unable to make plays with his legs. I'm selling high on Powell's stock and buying low on Crum while fading a tired Tabbies team.
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