Trump's base is very different than the swing voters he'll need in 2020

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President Trump has a 44% approval rating and 52% disapproval rating among voters, according to an aggregation of CNN's last three polls. On the economy, it's been the inverse: 53% approval and 42% disapproval. | Analysis by ForecasterEnten

President Donald Trump's chief problem heading into the 2020 campaign can be boiled down to"like him on the economy, but not overall." Aggregating our last three CNN polls, Trump has a 44% approval rating and 52% disapproval rating among voters. On the economy, it's been the inverse: 53% approval and 42% disapproval.

If 2020 turns out to be a referendum on Trump's overall performance, he's an underdog. Trump, though, would up his odds significantly by winning over half of the 9% of voters who like him on the economy but not overall -- and he would be a clear favorite if he won the votes of all those who approved of him on the economy but not overall.

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