Could Trump win again? Of course. But let’s be honest: His first victory was a miracle. A second might take an act of God.
bailing on Denmark and saying stupid things about American Jews this week would be seen as obnoxious but historically unimportant incidents. Even so, both provocations were typical of this president, to say nothing of the
referring to himself as “the second coming,” and you have to wonder if even checked-out Americans are starting to tire of the nonsense. The official line is that Trump will be a formidable candidate in 2020. As Montana governorsaid in the latest round of debates, “He will be hard to beat.” And it’s no wonder, because complacency spells defeat. But with the president having another oh-so-Trumpy week, you could argue that Trump’s chances of reelection are, if anything, being inflated.
Could Trump win again? Of course. But let’s be honest: his first victory was a miracle. A second, after four years of embarrassments and betrayals in office, might take an act of God. The best you can say for Trump is that he became less scary to a lot more people, and the devil you know is always preferable to some. But Trump’s appeal to disaffected voters rested on his attacks against the Republican establishment from the right and left. From the right, he was talking way tougher on the border. From the left, he was lambasting Republican orthodoxies on trade, drug prices, and, most important of all, Iraq. You could see a hint of a realignment of U.S.
and the Republican establishment, reneging on multiple core promises that might have appealed to the middle: new infrastructure, better health care coverage, more controlled immigration, and less war. Instead, he tried and failed to kill Obamacare with nothing better to replace it, and he delivered tax cuts to rich people. On any points that he had left vague—such as labor support—he sided with capital.
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