'We are in a much, much better place. We are in a better place because people have gotten vaccinated and boosted. We've got treatments that are widely available,' Dr. Ashish Jha, White House Covid response coordinator said.
The reformulated boosters could reduce infections by 2.4 million, hospitalizations by 137,000 and deaths by 9,700 from August through May of 2023 if a new variant doesn't emerge, according to a projection by a team of scientists who forecast the trajectory of the pandemic, called theBut the projection is based on optimistic assumptions about booster coverage and efficacy, according to the scientists.
If Covid mutates in a way that gives life to a new, dominant variant and boosters are slow to get out to the public, the U.S. could suffer 1.3 million hospitalizations and 181,000 deaths over the next nine months, according to the scientists' most pessimistic scenario. Previous infection, vaccination alone and vaccination plus infection didn't necessarily keep people from getting sick, but they all showed more than 70% effectiveness against developing a really severe case or dying from omicron BA.2 , according to a study published inby Weill Cornell Medicine in Qatar. The study examined the medical records of 100,000 individuals in Qatar from December 2021 through February 2022.
"We're seeing now more and more people are on their second and third episodes of this," Osterholm said."What is the interaction between increasing vaccination, natural infection and immunity related to infection? We just don't know," he said. "Will we continue to see this kind of activity maintained for some time? People will say it can't go on endlessly because people will be infected and develop immunity. But what happens with waning immunity?" Osterholm said.Many elderly people and individuals with weak immune systems remain vulnerable to the virus.
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