Virginia elections in dead heat as candidates focus on abortion and crime

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Virginia elections in dead heat as candidates focus on abortion and crime
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Breccan F. Thies is an investigative reporter for the Washington Examiner. He previously covered education and culture issues at Breitbart News. A Virginia native, Thies graduated from the University of Virginia in 2019, where he earned a degree in foreign affairs and minored in history. You can follow him on X: @BreccanFThies.

Virginia could serve as a 2024 bellwether on abortion because both legislative houses are up for grabs in November.

“The reason we believe that seat flipped for us is because of the messaging on women’s reproductive rights,” Democratic state Sen. Mamie Locke, chairwoman of the Virginia Senate Democratic Caucus, said. “I did door-knocking for that candidate, and much of what we heard is, ‘This candidate going to protect women’s right to choose?’”

UMW politics professor Stephen Farnsworth said Virginia, once reliably purple but trending blue in recent years,"has rapidly returned to its purple state status." In the same poll, 53% of respondents said the overturn of Roe v. Wade would be a"major factor" for electoral decision-making. Running on abortion in post-Roe elections appears to have worked for Democrats nationwide, with Republicans suffering an unexpectedly slim federal House majority in 2022, including only picking up one of potentially three close races in Virginia — Rep. Jen Kiggans , whose state Senate seat was flipped by Rouse. Prince William County supervisor Yesli Vega, who ran to defeat Rep. Abigail Spanberger , narrowly lost in a race many believe was marred by an abortion-related gaffe last year.

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