Wall St Week Ahead Defensives may not be safe place to hide as stock market stumbles

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Wall St Week Ahead Defensives may not be safe place to hide as stock market stumbles
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Investors searching for safer areas in the U.S. stock market are finding that traditional shelters that held up in last year's selloff, such as consumer staples, utilities and healthcare, may be more problematic this time.

"If you look at the equity market, it’s telling you there’s no recession risk basically,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, adding that defensives so far this year have been a "pain trade."

The utilities sector has a dividend yield of 3.4%, staples stands at 2.7%, while healthcare offers 1.8%, according to data from S&P Dow Jones Indices this week. By contrast, the six-month U.S. Treasury note yields nearly 5.2%. Healthcare's P/E ratio of 17 times is slightly below its historic average. However the sector's financial prospects this year are relatively weak; S&P 500 healthcare earnings are expected to fall 8.3% against a 1.7% increase for the overall S&P 500, according to Refinitiv IBES.

Should concerns about recession spike, as they did last year, defensives could outperform again on a relative basis, according to investors.

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