While top executives on Wall Street may be freaking out about Elizabeth Warren’s rise, analysts in the industry are starting to soberly assess what her impact in the White House might be on specific sectors
— Speaking of the trade war, Weijian Shan, Chair and CEO of PAG in a new piece for Foreign Affairs: “There have been over a dozen rounds of high-level negotiations without any real prospect of a settlement …
“Trump thinks that tariffs will convince China to cave in … China may be willing to budge on some issues, such as buying more U.S. goods … but not to the extent demanded by the Trump administration … The numbers suggest that Washington is not winning this trade war.”T — IHS Markit’s Ben Herzon and Joel Prakken: “We estimate that the increase of trade policy uncertainty from 2014 through 2018 lowered real investment spending and GDP by about $100 billion, or 0.5% of real GDP.
— Our Zachary Warmbrodt: “An academic study of private equity buyouts found significant evidence of job losses at once publicly traded companies after takeovers, though not at privately held firms, a discovery that could complicate efforts to rein in the industry.”— Our Bjarke Smith-Meyer: “Trade protectionism, digital tax and Facebook’s plans for a virtual currency are all set for debate at the meeting of finance ministers and central bankers from G20 countries in Washington later this month.
“EU ministers are primed to push on those points in the meeting — and potentially set off a clash with the U.S. —, obtained by POLITICO. The document sets out the bloc’s shared ‘terms of reference’ for European messages to the gathering. The three-page item bemoans how trade tensions between the U.S., China and the EU are putting global growth at risk. Washington, for example, is considering tariffs of up to $7.5 billion on EU exports a year.
“That means increased emphasis on Super Tuesday primaries March 3, when 40% of delegates are up for grabs, and not necessarily on the earliest nominating states, Iowa and New Hampshire, where campaigns usually seek to grab an early toehold in presidential races.”POLITICO Pro surveyed 1,400 policy insiders about the current state of politics, and learned that the majority of these professionals struggle with information overload.
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