Pledging to 'get Brexit done,' and secure a U.S.-U.K. trade deal, the Conservative party leader won a huge victory in the general election.
But a strong Conservative majority paradoxically increases the chances of a softer Brexit—which could mean Westminster choosing Brussels over Washington despite Trump's overtures to Johnson.
The U.K. cannot have frictionless trade with both the U.S. and the E.U. because Washington and Brussels do not have their own agreement after the failure of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership talks a few years ago. Either there have to be strict customs checks between the U.K. and E.U.—a trade barrier meaning a harder Brexit—or Westminster must sacrifice the opportunity for freer trade with the U.S. and others for easier access to the European single market.The Conservative is willing to play up the friendship to flatter Trump—a relationship motivated, from Johnson's point of view, by realpolitik—and is more willing than others to pander to the U.S. if it means getting what he wants.
Despite voters' concerns about the NHS, Conservatives won seats off Labour—which is, polling shows, trusted by voters to run the health service—in their traditional heartlands across the north and midlands of England, many of which are strongly pro-Brexit.
Beyond the issue of trade and Brexit, the U.K. election result is also an alarm bell for American progressives. There is a debate between those who argue that only a moderate can beat Trump and others who say a radical alternative platform is the path to winning in 2020.
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