The latest New York Times and Siena College poll showed 49% of respondents rated economic conditions as poor.
“The rule of thumb tends to be that if a president is doing reasonably well, around 50%, in the months before reelection, then that President has a pretty good chance of winning,” W. Joseph Campbell, professor of communication at American University in Washington, D.C., told Spectrum News.
But historically, he noted, a president’s approval rating tends to tick up as he hits the road, campaigning for another term. Since declaring his bid, Biden and his team have specifically honed in on the economy, launching a full-force messaging campaign under the name “Bidenomics” and pointing to“Historically, there's a strong relationship between economic performance and presidential election outcomes in the last year before a presidential election,” Hayes said.
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