Will warlord Khalifa Haftar and his allies try to take advantage of Libya’s delayed elections, and could that lead to a partitioned country?
The long-awaited presidential elections in Libya have been postponed for at least a month, initially scheduled for December 24.
Presidential candidates Fathi Bashagha who was interior minister in the previous UN Government of National Accord in Libya, and Ahmed Maiteg, who was a member of the previous presidential council, recentlyAccording to Jalel Harchaoui, a senior fellow at Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime and a Libya expert, Bashagha's meeting with Haftar was a cynical ploy to stay politically relevant.
“To do this, Haftar is now working on the support of not only the House of Representatives Speaker Aguila Saleh but also on west-based political parties that oppose Abdulhamid Dbeibah, such as Fathi Bashagha and Ahmed Maiteg. Haftar is also relying on the hate for Saif al Islam Gaddafi's card, which is bringing a lot of Haftar's enemies to his side in what they believe would help push Saif out of the race, and to some extent push Dbeibah out as well.
Harchaoui adds that Williams thinks former UN Special Envoy to Libya, Jan Kubis, was not able to extract anything from the LPDF, but she will be able to. “This vision wants any alliance other than that of Dbeibah, US-backed, to be victorious. Russia, on the other hand, keeps interest in Haftar and Aguila Saleh, but is also pushing for Saif al Islam Gaddafi to return to the scene in Libya.”“If Bashagha, Maiteg, Haftar, and Aguila Saleh get together and declare a new government in the east, the new government might appear. Dbeibah will stay in Tripoli and no mechanism realistically can remove Dbeibah from Tripoli as Turkiye is there.
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