Will a candidate break through at this week's debates? Can *any* candidate break through? Is the primary race so entrenched that it won't make a difference even if they did? What FiveThirtyEight is watching for in this week's Democratic debates:
He has sometimes tried to act like he was the OG Democratic Socialist and she’s stepping on his turf, which I don’t think is a particularly compelling message either.One thing I want to note about Warren and Sanders is how we understand what goes on within parties in a nomination contest. Because you essentially have two people competing who have somewhat different approaches to their shared ideological lane.
It’s not like Yang or Williamson, where there’s something inherently trollish about their candidacies.And Steve Bullock, while I don’t think he has a shot at winning the nomination, could still be an interesting addition. At the very least, he wasn’t in the first debate, so voters won’t have heard him make his case yet.Yes, Bullock is a strong candidate on paper: two-term governor of a red state, and he has somein Iowa.
But I would guess that virtually no one has heard words come out of his mouth, so this week will be big for him.Bullock also has anti-establishment cred from being excluded from the first debate. Will anyone care? I don’t know. As someone writing about party legitimacy, I’m way into watching that unfold.Yeah, I think so, Nate, but with Sanders, they’ll still have material to work with.
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