The Economist’s new overview of the Democratic primary race features a poll tracker and candidate profiles
candidates have thrown their hat into the ring for the Democrats’ presidential nominating contest in 2020. This field, the largest ever, includes United States senators and House representatives, mayors, entrepreneurs and even a self-help guru. Some candidates have already withdrawn. Those who remain are engaged in a battle for the future of the party. This portal will help you keep track of who is winning and who is losing and, perhaps more interestingly, why.
Here you will find our average of each candidate’s performance in all high-quality, national public opinion polls conducted so far as well as the probability of victory inferred from political betting. You will also find data from YouGov, our pollster, breaking down support for each candidate by demographic group. UnderAugust 23rd - Seth Moulton withdraws from consideration
Seth Moulton ended his long-shot bid for the presidency on August 23rd. His campaign for the Democratic nomination focused on the state of mental-health care in America, but gained little attention. The congressman returns home to Massachusetts where he will run for re-election to the House. After Mr Moulton’s departure, 11 other candidates are still polling below 1%, a possible sign that they will soon bow out of the race.
Breaking down support by demographic group gives an indication of why the contenders are doing well, or poorly, in the national numbers. We have crunched those numbers for the most important demographic categories: race, age, sex, education and ideology. Interested in the strength of Joe Biden’s support among African-Americans? Here’s where to look.Since 1980 no Democratic candidate has won the nomination without winning a majority of African-American primary voters.
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