Democrats shouldn’t rely on Trump’s legal troubles to sink him next year.
Former President Donald Trump waits to take the witness stand at New York Supreme Court on Monday. | Pool photo by Jabin BotsfordA lot can happen in a year, and Democrats worried about Joe Biden’s lackluster showing in polls against Donald Trump are hoping it will — in courtrooms across America.
Democrats figure — or at least hope — that a conviction or two will finish Trump and make up for Biden’s vulnerabilities. This isn’t an unreasonable expectation, but they shouldn’t bank on it. Consider the civil fraud case in Manhattan that has gotten so much attention in recent weeks. The coverage has all been about how badly it’s gone for Trump, who has made angry press statements, been sanctioned by the judge, stormed out of the courtroom and taken the stand to blast the proceedings in long, discursive answers.
It’s not usual for a judge, as Arthur Engoron did, to declare a guilty verdict at the beginning of the trial, rather than the end. After more than a half-century, it so happens that Trump is the test case. It should be easy to understand why he and his supporters don’t believe that this is a strictly neutral exercise in justice.
This was the dynamic all during Trump’s presidency, and now it’s even more intense and high stakes with his freedom at risk., whereas 46 percent say they are politically motivated. There was a similar picture after the Georgia charges, whenThis mixed bag is hardly catastrophic for Trump. But if he is convicted of a felony, the polling suggests it would be very bad for him. A Quinnipiac poll back in August found thatWhether this sentiment will hold after a conviction is uncertain.
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