Breaking down the best way to bet tonight’s tough matchup between the Astros and Yankees.
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One reason to be a little skeptical of Houston’s record is that the Astros have only played 17 games against teams with a record above .500. Those numbers can be a little skewed this early in the season, but it’s still pretty odd because every other team in the MLB has played at least 25 games against clubs above the Mason-Dixon Line. The Yankees, for instance, have played 31 games against teams above .500.
The pitching matchup for Thursday night is quite interesting as it features two starters — Jameson Taillon and Framber Valdez — with similar statistical portfolios. Neither Taillon nor Valdez will rack up strikeouts, but they do a great job avoiding barrels and keeping the ball in the ballpark. Valdez is especially adept at inducing groundballs, sporting a league-best 67.5 GB% through 81 innings of work. To put that in perspective, no other MLB pitcher is 57 GB% on the season.
While Taillon’s GB% doesn’t come close to Valdez’s, it’s still strong and the Yankee right-hander is the league’s best starter at limiting walks so far this season.
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