We analyzed how the Democratic presidential hopefuls fared among primary voters of different races, ages, genders, incomes and education levels. The data gives a look at how candidates’ support breaks and has shifted along demographic lines.
, with one notable exception: Black voters consistently prefer Kamala Harris to Elizabeth Warren. But Biden’s lead among this critical demographic has remained stable and sizable in Morning Consult’s polling. At his best, Biden crested to 29 points above the next nearest candidate, Bernie Sanders, the week before the first Democratic debate.On economics, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders read from the same hymnbook.
Education has more sharply divided Sanders and Warren. As the campaign drew on, Warren became the more popular candidate among the most-educated Democrats. By mid-May, Warren overtook Sanders among voters with a postgraduate degree. Today, the more educated the voter, the more likely the voter is to support Warren. Sanders keeps a wide lead on those Americans who haven’t gone to college, and the two cut close on those with a bachelor's degree.
Buttigieg leapfrogged O’Rourke with voters of all income brackets, ages and with white voters. He failed to have the same success with black voters,. As O’Rourke’s fall from media darling to middling candidate continued through the first two debates, both candidates found themselves in the basement of black support.
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