California Gov. Gavin Newsom said today that Democrats should not vote for any of the 46 candidates vying to replace him in the upcoming recall election
As a result, recall ballots will list several prominent Republican candidates but no Democrats with political experience. If Democratic voters leave that second question blank, they could effectively be ceding the question of Newsom’s successor to Republican voters and other recall supporters.
That creates the possibility that a Republican becomes governor with a small plurality of the vote. Conservative talk show host Larry Elder has leapfrogged into the lead among Republicans but has topped out around 20 percent. Newsom spoke Monday in front of a homeless encampment tucked beneath a freeway, with litter like syringes and a burned-out portable toilet scattered around. The governor has made regular appearances at homeless camps this summer to help clean up trash and tout state housing money, an attempt to respond to California voters concerned about growing homelessness in the state.
While registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans in California, polls show conservatives are far more motivated to vote in the recall. Newsom’s fate will hinge on turning out enough of his voters to counteract surging Republican enthusiasm. The governor on Monday called his team’s get-out-the-vote efforts “unprecedented,” saying the campaign had sent more than 15 million texts while spending millions to buoy turnout.
Former Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger claimed the governorship in 2003 without an outright majority, securing 48.6 percent of the vote after voters elected to recall then-Gov. Gray Davis. Then-Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante decided to run as a replacement Democrat in that election and managed just a third of the vote, an outcome that informed some Democrats’ thinking this time around.
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