Trump has three options with North Korea to avoid a dangerous perfect storm in Asia | By Duyeon Kim for CNNOpinion
Duyeon Kim is an adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security and a columnist with the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely hers.
In the next few weeks, the Korean Peninsula will face a watershed moment -- one which could upend the United States' alliances in northeast Asia and regional stability as a whole -- if three contentious issues are mismanaged. The three issues are: US diplomacy with North Korea; the fate of a key intelligence cooperation pact between South Korea and Japan; and negotiations for who pays to station US troops on the Korean Peninsula.All three are at a crossroads -- and all three are trending in the wrong direction.The worst-case scenario is that these issues converge and lead to the premature reduction or withdrawal of US troops from South Korea, as North Korea and China assert themselves on the global stage.
How the Hanoi summit unraveled 02:25Trump's third and best option for the time being is to give working-level negotiations a chance. Going this route won't be easy. Trump would have to accept that an early breakthrough isn't likely and prepare for a possible North Korean provocation if Pyongyang's deadline isn't met. Kim's regime is confident enough in the growing technological sophistication of its nuclear weapons that it's comfortable making unrealistic demands.
US and North Korea differ on results of Stolkholm talks 01:48An alliance at a crossroadsTwo of the three big issues relate to South Korea -- the future of its GSOMIA intelligence pact with Japan, and how to split the cost for US troops on the Korean Peninsula. Despite its conditional postponement last week, Seoul still wants to terminate GSOMIA unless Tokyo changes its attitude toward recent bilateral spats with deep historical roots.
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